ADVANCED CYCLES
This course involves you doing real time cycle analysis and you constructing real time predictions of both time and price by learning and applying cycle theory. You will learn basic timing concepts and techniques and build on them by delving into practical techniques for predicting price too. Phasing involves establishing the correct cyclic model (the set of cycles operating in the market). It also involves selecting the correct anchors and lengths of past cycles so all that information can be used into the future. Phasing tells us about coming trend and that is critical to profiting in the markets. A range of approaches for trading cycles will be covered including entries, exits, risk minimisation and money management.
This course provides a hands on approach to learning how to apply cycle knowledge to analysis and trading. This means you will be doing rather than just being told or shown what to do. The purpose is to get you to go deep into the concepts. This is what most people don’t do – and therein lies a story. . . . .
"Tell me, I forget; show me, I remember; involve me, I understand.”
You will be expected to be fully involved in the learning process so that you are more likely to understand the concepts and develop the skills required. You will be expected to share your learning journey with the group, in a supportive and non-threatening environment.
The course will be delivered via Zoom and is conducted across a 6 month period involving 8 main sessions. To support your learning, I offer between session emails, Zoom calls, AnyDesk remote desktop support and/or phone calls to help with set tasks and to answer your questions.
• Pre-Course Exercise (prior to Session 1) – to start you thinking about cycles.
• Session 1 Daily Hand Charting – set up and support. Your first steps to forecasting.
• Session 2 Cycle Theory – gaining a real understanding of ‘cycles’
• Session 3 Hand Charting & phasing – more forecasting techniques
• Session 4 Advanced Cyclic Tools – what most people don’t know (Shhhh!)
• Session 5 Questions & Phasing – ensuring you understand the forecasting methods
• Session 6 Cycle Revision & Trading – how to develop a profitable trading plan
• Session 7 Using CycleMaster – you install the software and start to use it
• Session 8 Phasing with CycleMaster – you apply what you have learned
Hand Chart 'check ups' offer support and assistance to ensure you understand.
Paper Trading Sessions help you understand the real time trading done during the course
Follow up – Advanced Cycles Get Togethers and Charity events.
Please note CycleMaster software is available to reduce the time and effort required for cyclic analysis, but not until you understand and have practiced the key concepts and principles by hand. The software, associated manuals and training are part of the Advanced Cycles fee. See Software - CycleMaster.
Preferable:
It is preferable you have attended Cycle Analysis and Market Timing or 'Forecasting with Cycles' to help you answer "Are cycles for me?" These short courses are recommended, but are not required.
Course Materials:
• extensive course notes
• pdfs for 2 A0 hand charts (Weekly and Daily) as example charts to work on throughout the duration of the course
• copies of purpose built Excel spreadsheets that simplify tasks
• data and computer generated charts as required
• CycleMaster Software and associated Installation, User and Reference Manuals
DETAILED COURSE OUTLINE
This course is not an end point. It is a starting point. You will be guided in the right direction and if you take on this education then there will be work to do. I accepted the challenge of this path, did the work and have not been disappointed. You will get to meet others on the same path and you will be able to compare notes. I encourage involvement in the Advanced Cyclers Network. Past participants are seekers like you and the Advanced Cycles Get-Togethers are by them and for them, at no cost – via Zoom. Charity events also form an important part of philanthropy by past participants.
Pre-Course
Good educational practice requires participants to engage in pre-reading and pre-exercises to maximise the effectiveness of bringing about change. Two reference books will be provided along with a cycle related pre-course exercise. This is designed to get you thinking about cycles and how they express in financial markets.
Upon receipt of the course fee, pre-course information is sent out.
Session 1 Daily Hand Charting
THEME 1: Market Cycles = Time and Price
We will work through the principles and specific steps required to make a cycle prediction. This involves identifying advantageous future zones in time where a change in trend is highly likely. You will learn how to make a live prediction using current market data so that it can be followed in real time in the coming weeks and months. To facilitate this process, we will utilise weekly and daily hand charts of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The advantages of hand charting will be outlined and you will learn through practical application on these charts. The methodology can also be applied via computer software but that comes later. Importantly, this methodology can be applied on ANY market on ANY timeframe.
THEME 2: Learning Journeys
You will be expected to apply the cycle concepts covered and share your learning with the group in following sessions.
Session 2 Cycle Theory
THEME 1: Market Cycles = Time and Price
This session aims to ensure you understand the cyclic concepts and can get them onto your charts. Knowing what to do, and how to do it by hand, means you are better able to use the CycleMaster software though deep understanding.
We will return to our predictions and assess how they are going in this, and subsequent sessions. There will be opportunities for improvement and these will be teased out. By following the approaches of an experience trader your ability to handle a live situation will be enhanced. Advanced cycle based concepts, tools and techniques for monitoring and updating time and price predictions will be explored and explained.
THEME 2: Learning Journeys
You will share with the group:
• any “ah ha” moments
• significant learnings
• hurdles, problems, hassles and how they were overcome
• outstanding quandaries or areas of uncertainty
THEME 3: Cycle Trading Techniques
An example trading plan will be provided. This will be paper traded live in real time throughout the course. All calls will be made ahead of time so that there is no 'could have', 'should have', 'would have' involved in the results.
Session 3 Hand Charting & Phasing
This session builds on the daily hand charting, adds the weekly chart and reveals new phasing methods.
Session 4 Advanced Cyclic Tools
This session reveals powerful cyclic tools and how to use them. Having identified and forecast advantageous zones in time where a change in trend is highly likely, and having experienced these come to pass by watching them unfold LIVE, we will add price predictions to the mix.
Session 5 Questions & Phasing
This session is designed to get all questions answered and aims to ensure you understand the cyclic concepts. Phasing will also be explored in detail, including a range of practical exercises.
Session 6 Cycle Revision & Trading
THEME 1: Market Cycles = Time and Price
We will return to our predictions and assess how they went. We will explore questions such as: How do we measure how good a prediction was? How ‘good’ does a prediction need to be, to be profitably tradable? What are the critical elements required to profit from cycle knowledge?
THEME 2: Learning Journeys
There will be a further opportunity for you to update your learning journey and share your insights with the group. Importantly, where to next in your learning journey?
THEME 3: Cycle Trading Techniques
We will look at some trading approaches to take advantage of your new cycle knowledge. These techniques will be applicable to all financial markets including stocks, futures, options, CFDs, FOREX, commodities, indexes, etc.
Concepts covered in this course can form the basis of a trading plan based on cycle analysis:
• Entry signals.
trading long - making money on the way up
trading short – making money on the way down.
• Entry methods
• Stop loss methods
• Profit Protection methods
‘take profit’ stops – where and why
• Position sizing
We will look at trading system development using cycle concepts. This will extend beyond signal, entry and exit to back testing, forward testing, money management, risk management, paper trading and psychology of trading.
We will reflect on how the paper trading plan has panned out.
CycleMaster Software
CycleMaster software reduces the work involved. It will be provided now that you fully understand the theory and concepts because you have been applying these ‘by hand’. This software package and associated materials are provided, explained and demonstrated. Extensive documentation is provided to support installation and use.
Session 7 Using CycleMaster
Installing CycleMaster is not onerous but time is allowed so that everyone can do the installation and have some time to work through the User Manual. This is where the experience and knowledge built up through the hand charting comes into play. CycleMaster is a tool and as with all tools in the wrong hands, it can be dangerous. You are encouraged to be the 'Cycle Master' and keep a close eye on the software and make adjustments as necessary. This session explores some tips and techniques to get the best out of 'using' CycleMaster.
Session 8 Phasing with CycleMaster
Phasing involves establishing the correct cyclic model, correct anchors and correct lengths of past cycles, so that information can be used into the future. CycleMaster is a tool. It is very good, but it is only a tool. YOU are the expert. It is your analysis and it is your money at risk. You have to learn to rely on what you know and thus you use CycleMaster with adjustment.
Beyond the Advanced Cycles Course
Past Advanced Cycles graduates talk the same language and carry a wealth of experience. They areencourage to share this knowledge and be supportive of current course participants and new graduates. You are welcome to recycle the Advanced Cycle course at no cost.
The Advanced Cycles Network tends to gather approximately three times a year for mutual assistance and there is an annual ‘Charity Event’ where we give away our hard earned cash in the interest of others. Philanthropy may not be your thing at the moment but those with money, and those with the ability to make money, tend to gravitate to it. This is good karmic practice.
Trading Advanced Cycles
'Trading Advanced Cycles' is a course for those who want further specific knowledge and experience to take the 'cyclic edge' taught in Advanced Cycles to a proven profitable plan. Once properly developed, such a plan can be used real time real money in the market(s) for which it was developed. The process, once experienced and learned, can be reapplied at will.
If you have quetions, or would like to discuss any aspects of the Advanced Cycles course, please make contact.
Past Advanced Cycles Paper Trading Results
My Approach to Teaching Traders
Course Dates and Fees
Trading Advanced Cycles
