Even More Trials and Tribulations of High Leverage
January 2022 Campaign $1,000 to $102,407 USD in 12 days
Overview
My intention in sharing this material is for my exploits to be inspirational. In my earlier article ‘Trials and Tribulations of High Leverage’ based on my August 2021 campaign, I showed I had turned $1,200 USD into $12,500 USD in 18 days and I quipped: “Can I do this all the time? Of course not! I have to wait for the lows. Do my trading results always look this good? Of course not! They sometimes look better…”
In the article ‘October 2021 Campaign $1,193 to $95,555 in 22 days’ I prove that statement correct because in my October 2021 campaign, I took $1,193 USD to $95,555 USD in 22 days. $91,000 USD from my broker’s account arrived in my bank account as $117,000 AUD.
In this article ‘January 2022 Campaign $1,000 to $102,407 USD in 12 days’ I continue to show these results are not a fluke or a flash in the pan.
My hope is the studious will find this a valuable study.
Disclaimer
Past results are a very good indication of future results – generally.
Don’t try this at home as it will likely be dangerous to your wealth. You need to make the effort, develop the knowledge, and learn to overcome the psychological barriers. These require time, in my case over 20 years.
The Campaign Start
On Thursday 13 January 2022, I had cycle phasing suggesting price was approaching a 20 week low. The drop was swift and significant.
I entered initial trades short on S&P 500 (SP500), NASDAQ (ND100) and AUDUSD on the daily, 4 hour and 1 hour timeframes using KATS, my automated software. Multiple additional trades were entered throughout the campaign.
Here is an overview of the move on SP500 Daily.
- The starting balance was $1,000 USD
- The campaign lasted 12 calendar days
- There were 8 trading days
Post Campaign
It is always interesting to look at what happened after a campaign is closed out. Did price continue to go in the trade direction or did it retrace? Price briefly went lower after all trades were exited, however so far price has tended to move up.
You can track the Dow (and any other index or market) via https://finance.yahoo.com/. Type ^DJI into the Quote Lookup search box.
The Campaign Trades
The Campaign Metrics
Equity
EQUITY Difference from Previous Trading Day
Notice the last three days had handy profit at over $18,000 each day!
$ CHANGE from Invested Capital
% CHANGE from Invested Capital
% CHANGE per day since START
The average percent increase per day was 319%.
Intraday Date Time and Equity
Tracking intraday equity shows the variation that can’t be seen when just looking at close figures. The smaller dollar figures are from my low leverage manual trading account.
% CHANGE in Equity per HOUR
I think it is instructive to show the sort of percent variation that occurs across a range of minutes/hours…
Mathematical Expectancy (ME)
SQN
Unfortunately, initial stop losses were not recorded.
Conclusion
From Profit Magic (my emphasis): Can a $10,000 investment yield $1,000,000 in a year? In five years? If so, what is the risk involved?
These are the kinds of questions to which this work is addressed. Techniques are presented here that put an average yield on invested capital of 10% per month well within the realm of possibility. Compounding profits at this rate, such a yield can return $1,000,000 on a $10,000 investment within 50 months!
An actual trading experiment using these principles produced an 8.9% yield per transaction – every 9.7 days. Such results, if continued, compounds $10,000 to $1,000,000 in 15 months. If such results can be attained in the market – why isn’t everyone doing it?
The answer is complex, but the elements are simple: effort, knowledge, and psychological barriers Any goal this worthwhile requires time and effort. Most investors, amateur and professional, do not have the kind of analytical background needed to shear through rumour, opinion, and adage to get at the basis of why stock prices change. And finally, even with knowledge in hand, many investors lack training in the balance required for success.
